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外文原文 TheStudyofFinancialRiskinM&A 1.ThebackgroundanalysisofM&A Inthewestcountries,M&Ahaveahistoryaboutmorethan100years,and transactionshavebeenexpanding.The5thwaveofglobalmergersandacquisitions peakedin2000.Inourcountry,M&Abecomemoreandmorepopular.Forexample, manycompaniesStepupthepaceofoverseasexpansionandM&A.However,under thepressureofRMBappreciation,manycompanieschooseM&Atotideoverthe difficulties.Asweknown,M&Amusthaverisks,forinstance:estimateoftarget firms,choiceoftransactionmethod,orfinancialrisks.Howcanavoidtheserisks? Whichmethodshouldwechoose?Thisisthepurposeofthisarticle. 2.ThecauseoffinancialriskinM&A 2.1Overestimateorunderestimatethevalueoffirmsleadtotherisk 2.1.1Informationasymmetryisthemajorfactorwhichimpactstheestimation BecauseofInformationasymmetry,targetfirmalwaysconcealadverse informationandexaggerategoodinformation.Biddersalsoexaggeratetheirstrength, disclosurebetweenthemareinadequateordistorted.Therefore,failureswhichresult fromrashactionscanbefoundeverywhere.Therearemanyinformationrisks,fortow importantexamples:first,equityrisk,equityisveryimportantinanyfirms,however therearedifferencebetweentheofferinformationandthereal,theseillusive informationthreatenthesucceedofM&A;second,debtinformationrisk,ifthisrisk wouldnotbefound,alargedebtwillfalltothebidderswithnoreasons. 2.1.2Lackofrationalevaluationmethods Therearethreeevaluationmethods:replacementcostmethod;marketvalue method;thepresentvalueofearnings,betweenthem,marketvaluemethodhashigh requestaboutInformationsymmetry,forfirmscanmakeanexactevaluationonly whentheinformationishighsymmetry.However,inourcountry,thelevelof informationsymmetryislower,littlefirmsadoptthismethod.Mostofthemadopt replacementmethodandthepresentvalueofearningsmethod.Thesetwomethods alsohavedisadvantages,replacementcostreflectsthehistoricalcostwhichcan’t reflectthefutureprofitability;althoughthepresentvalueconsidersthevalue-added revenue,ithasalsoobviousflaws,thatis,futurerevenueexpectedisverydifferent. 2.1.3Thesystemof