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基于仿真模拟的长株潭城市群水资源供需系统决策优化（英文）.docx

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基于仿真模拟的长株潭城市群水资源供需系统决策优化（英文） Title:DecisionOptimizationofWaterResourcesSupplyandDemandSysteminChangsha-Zhuzhou-XiangtanUrbanAgglomerationBasedonSimulation Abstract: Withtherapiddevelopmentofurbanizationandpopulationgrowth,thedemandforwaterresourcesinurbanareashasbeenincreasing.Effectivemanagementanddecision-makinginwaterresourcessupplyanddemandsystemarecrucialtoensuresustainabledevelopmentinurbanareas.ThispaperproposesadecisionoptimizationapproachforwaterresourcessupplyanddemandsystemintheChangsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan(CZT)urbanagglomerationbasedonsimulation. 1.Introduction: TheCZTurbanagglomerationisoneofthelargestandfastest-growingmetropolitanareasincentralChina.Itfacesseverechallengesregardingwaterresourcesmanagementduetoitsrapidurbanizationandindustrialization.ThispaperaimstodevelopadecisionoptimizationmodelfortheCZTurbanagglomeration'swaterresourcessupplyanddemandsystem,consideringtheuncertaintiesandcomplexitiesofthesystem. 2.LiteratureReview: Theliteraturereviewpresentsthecurrentresearchonwaterresourcesmanagementanddecision-makinginurbanareas.ItdiscussesthechallengesfacedbytheCZTurbanagglomerationandtheexistingdecision-makingapproaches.Thereviewhighlightstheneedforsimulation-basedoptimizationmodelstoaddressthecomplexitiesofthesystem. 3.Methodology: Theproposedmethodologyconsistsoftwomaincomponents:simulationmodelinganddecisionoptimization.Firstly,asimulationmodelofthewaterresourcessupplyanddemandsystemintheCZTurbanagglomerationisdeveloped.Themodelincorporatesvariousfactorssuchaspopulationgrowth,industrialwaterdemands,andenvironmentalfactors.Secondly,adecisionoptimizationmodelisconstructedtooptimizetheallocationofwaterresourcesbasedonthesimulationresults.Themodelconsidersmultipleobjectives,includingminimizingwatershortages,maximizingwaterutilizationefficiency,andbalancingresourceallocationamongdifferentregions. 4.CaseStudy: AcasestudyisconductedusingrealdatafromtheCZTurbanagglomeration.Thesimulationmodeliscalibratedandvalidatedusinghistoricaldata,andthedecisionoptim