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世界银行:全球经济正处于转折点 Theglobaleconomyisata"turningpoint",theWorldBankhassaid,asitforecastsstrongergrowthfor2014. 世界银行称,全球经济正处于“转折点”,并预测2014年将有强势增长。 Initsannualreportontheworldeconomy,thebanksaidrichercountriesappearedtobe"finallyturningacorner"afterthefinancialcrisis. Thatisexpectedtosupportstrongergrowthindevelopingeconomies. Butitwarnedgrowthprospects"remainedvulnerable"totheimpactofthewithdrawalofeconomicstimulusmeasuresintheUS. TheUSFederalReservehasalreadybeguntowinddownitsmonthlybond-buyingprogramme,previouslysetat$85bn(£52bn)amonth. 'Crisisrisks' Thereisconcernthiscouldpushupglobalinterestrates,whichcouldaffecttheflowofmoneyinandoutofdevelopingcountriesandleadtomorevolatileinternationalfinancialmarkets. TheWorldBankwarnedthatsomedevelopingcountries"couldfacecrisisrisks"iftheunwindingofstimulusmeasureswasaccompaniedbymarketvolatility. "Growthappearstobestrengtheninginbothhigh-incomeanddevelopingcountries,butdownsideriskscontinuetothreatentheglobaleconomicrecovery,"saidWorldBankgrouppresidentJimYongKim. "Theperformanceofadvancedeconomiesisgainingmomentum,andthisshouldsupportstrongergrowthindevelopingcountriesinthemonthsahead.Still,toacceleratepovertyreduction,developingnationswillneedtoadoptstructuralreformsthatpromotejobcreation,strengthenfinancialsystems,andshoreupsocialsafetynets." ThebankforecaststhatglobalGDPwillgrowby3.2%thisyear,upfrom2.4%in2013,withmuchofthepick-upcomingfromdevelopedeconomies. Developingnationswillgrowby5.3%thisyear,upfrom4.8%in2013. InaninterviewwithBBCeconomicscorrespondentAndrewWalker,WorldBankeconomistAndrewBurnsacknowledgedthatBrazil,Turkey,IndiaandIndonesiawereamongthecountriesthatcouldbevulnerabletotheimpactofUSstimuluswithdrawal. HoweverhealsonotedthatthefirstconcretestepstakenbytheFederalReservetocutbackitsprogrammeofbuyingfinancialassetslastmonthdidnotseverelydisturbthemarkets.