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美国数学建模比赛-特等奖论文--MCM.pdf

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TheLATEXTemplateforMCMWzlf11February4,2009AbstractButtheyalsoprovidedanearlyglimpseatthecomplexsetoftradeoffsfacingpartyleaders,fromtheirdesiretomaketheirowninfluencefelttotheirworriesaboutoffendingthecandidatesandparticularconstituenciesnottomentionthelong,sometimestroubledrelationshipbetweenMr.GoreandtheClintons.Theissuespartyleadersaregrapplingwith,theysaid,includehowtoavoidtheperceptionofaback-roomdealthatthwartsthewillofmillionsofvoterswhohavecastballotsinprimariesandcaucuses.ThatperceptioncouldcrippletheeventualDemocraticnomineeschancesofwinningthepresidencyinNovember,theysaid.ContentsAbstract.....................................................................................11Introduction.......................................................................31.1OtherAssumptions...........................................................42AnalysisoftheProblem....................................................43CalculatingandSimplifyingtheModel............................54TheModelResults..............................................................55ValidatingtheModel..........................................................66Conclusions........................................................................67ASummary.......................................................................68EvaluateoftheMode.........................................................79Strengthsandweaknesses..................................................79.1Strengths.........................................................................7References.................................................................................7Appendix..................................................................................72page3of13Team#...1IntroductionShesaidthenomi-Peaksnationshouldnotbede-cidedbydelegatesfromFloridaandMichiganal-locatedonthebasisof5votinginprimariestherelastmonth,astheClin-toncampaignhaspro-0posed.Mrs.Clintongotmorevotesinboth−5places,althoughneither2candidateacti