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混频数据信息下的时变货币政策传导行为研究——基于混频TVP-FAVAR模型 Title:ResearchontheTime-VaryingTransmissionMechanismofMonetaryPolicyunderMixedFrequencyDataInformation:BasedontheMixedFrequencyTVP-FAVARModel Abstract: Thetransmissionmechanismofmonetarypolicyisessentialforunderstandinghowchangesinmonetarypolicyaffecttheeconomy.However,existingstudiesoftenassumeaconstanttransmissionmechanism,neglectingthepossibilityoftime-varyingeffects.Inthispaper,weproposetoexaminethetime-varyingtransmissionmechanismofmonetarypolicyusingamixedfrequencydataapproach,combinedwithatime-varyingparameterfactoraugmentedvectorautoregressive(TVP-FAVAR)model.Weaimtoshedlightonhowthetransmissionmechanismofmonetarypolicyevolvesoverdifferenteconomicconditions. 1.Introduction(200words) Theimplementationandeffectivenessofmonetarypolicydependontheabilityofcentralbankstotransmitpolicychangestothebroadereconomy.Understandingthedynamicsofthistransmissionmechanismiscrucialforformulatingeffectivepolicies.However,traditionalapproachesoftenassumeaconstantandlinearrelationshipbetweenmonetarypolicyanditseffects,whichmaynotcapturethetime-varyingnatureoftherelationship.Thisstudyaimstofillthisgapbyinvestigatingthetime-varyingtransmissionmechanismofmonetarypolicyusingamixedfrequencydataapproachandtheTVP-FAVARmodel. 2.Literaturereview(200words) Thissectionwillprovideacomprehensivereviewoftheliteratureonthetransmissionmechanismofmonetarypolicy.Wewilldiscussvariousempiricalstudiesthathaveinvestigatedtherelationshipbetweenmonetarypolicyandmacroeconomicvariables.Additionally,wewillreviewstudiesthathaveexaminedthetime-varyingnatureofthisrelationshipandthesignificanceofincorporatingmixedfrequencydataintheanalysis. 3.Methodology(300words) Inthissection,wewillintroducethemixedfrequencydataapproachandtheTVP-FAVARmodel.Themixedfrequencydataapproachallowsustoincorporatebothhigh-frequencyandlow-frequencydata,capturingthechangesinthetransmissionmechanismovertime.TheTVP-FAVARmodelisaflexibleframeworkthatallowsfortime-varyingcoefficients,enablingustocapt