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基于Agent的供应链演化及RepastS仿真.docx

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基于Agent的供应链演化及RepastS仿真 Introduction: Agent-basedmodelingandsimulationhavebecomeapopulartoolinthestudyofcomplexsystems,includingsupplychains.Itallowsustoanalyzethebehaviorofindividualentities(agents)inasystemandtheirinteractionswitheachother.Inthispaper,wewillexploretheevolutionofsupplychainmanagementthroughthelensofagent-basedmodelingandsimulation. SupplyChainEvolution: Overthepastseveraldecades,supplychainshaveevolvedfromindividualcollectionsofsuppliersandmanufacturerstocomplexnetworksofnodesspanningtheglobe.Thisevolutionhasbeendrivenbyadvancesintechnology,globalization,andchangingconsumerpreferences.Assupplychainshavebecomemorecomplex,theyhavealsobecomemorevulnerabletodisruption.Thishasledtoagrowinginterestinsupplychainmanagementasawaytomitigateriskandimproveperformance. TheRoleofAgentsinSupplyChainManagement: Inanagent-basedmodel,eachentityinthesystemisrepresentedasanagent.Theseagentsinteractwitheachotherbasedonasetofrulesandbehaviors.Inasupplychaincontext,agentscouldrepresentsuppliers,manufacturers,distributors,retailers,andconsumers.Bymodelingsupplychainsasanetworkofinteractingagents,wecansimulatehowchangesinoneareaofthesystemcanaffecttherestofthesystem. AdvantagesofAgent-BasedModelinginSupplyChainManagement: Oneofthesignificantadvantagesofagent-basedmodelingisitsabilitytosimulatecomplexsystemsandidentifyemergentbehavior.Itallowsustoexperimentwithdifferentscenariosandtesttheiroutcomeswithouttheneedforreal-worldtesting.Additionally,agent-basedmodelingcanprovideinsightsintosupplychaindynamicsandidentifyareasforimprovement. Acasestudy:RepastSSimulation: Todemonstratetheusefulnessofagent-basedmodelinginsupplychainmanagement,wewillexploreacasestudyusingRepastSsimulation.Thesimulationwillmodelasupplychainnetworkconsistingofthreesuppliers,twomanufacturers,andthreeretailers.Thesimulationwilltracktheflowofgoodsfromthesupplierstothemanufacturersandthentotheretailers.Additionally,thesimulationwillincludefactorssuchastransportationtime,productioncapacity,anddemandvariabil