中国进出口贸易现状分析.docx

目录TOC\o"1-3"\u
摘要 =1\*ROMANI
Abstract =1\*ROMANI
1.导论………………………………………………………………………………………………………...1

2.数据处理与统计分析...................................................................................................................................1
2.1数据样本与变量指标............................................................................................................................1
2.1.1数据来源........................................................................................................................................1
2.1.2数据处理.......................................................................................................................................2
2.2统计分析................................................................................................................................................2
2.2.1相关分析.......................................................................................................................................2
2.2.2初步OLS回归..............................................................................................................................3
2.2.3平稳性检验...................................................................................................................................5
2.2.4协整检验......................................................................................................................................10
2.2.5ECM误差修正模型...................................................................................................................11
2.2.6对回归模型的检查.....................................................................................................................11
2.2.7迭代估计法.................................................................................................................................13
2.2.8预测.............................................................................................................................................14

3.结论............................