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基于SD模型的石家庄区域环境承载力评价.docx

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基于SD模型的石家庄区域环境承载力评价 Title:EvaluationofShijiazhuang'sRegionalEnvironmentalCarryingCapacitybasedontheSustainableDevelopmentModel Abstract: WiththerapidurbanizationandindustrializationwitnessedinShijiazhuang,theneedtoevaluateitsregionalenvironmentalcarryingcapacitybecomesincreasinglyimportant.ThispaperappliestheSustainableDevelopment(SD)modeltoassesstheenvironmentalcarryingcapacityofthecity,takingintoaccountfactorssuchaspopulationgrowth,resourceconsumption,wastegeneration,andenvironmentalpollution.ThefindingsofthisstudycanserveasareferenceforpolicymakersandurbanplannersinensuringsustainabledevelopmentandpromotingahealthylivingenvironmentforShijiazhuang'sresidents. 1.Introduction Theconceptofenvironmentalcarryingcapacityreferstothemaximumpopulationsizethatanareacansustainablysupportwithoutdepletingordegradingitsnaturalresources.Evaluatingtheregionalenvironmentalcarryingcapacityhelpstoidentifythebalancebetweeneconomicdevelopmentandenvironmentalconservation.InthecaseofShijiazhuang,thecapitalcityofHebeiProvinceinChina,therapidexpansionofindustriesandpopulationgrowthhaveraisedconcernsoverthecity'sabilitytoensuresustainabledevelopmentandmaintainahealthyenvironmentforitsresidents. 2.Methodology TheSDmodelprovidesacomprehensiveframeworkforevaluatingtheregionalenvironmentalcarryingcapacity.Thismodelincorporatessocial,economic,andenvironmentalindicatorstoassessthesustainabilityofasystem.ThefollowingkeyindicatorswillbeanalyzedintheevaluationofShijiazhuang'senvironmentalcarryingcapacity: 2.1PopulationGrowth Populationgrowthisavitalfactorindeterminingtheenvironmentalcarryingcapacityofaregion.ThestudywillexaminethehistoricalpopulationgrowthtrendsinShijiazhuangandprojectfuturepopulationchangesbasedondemographicpatterns,migration,andurbanizationrates. 2.2ResourceConsumption Resourceconsumption,includingwater,energy,andland,isanothercrucialaspectofassessingenvironmentalcarryingcapacity.TheanalysiswillinvestigatethecurrentandprojectedtrendsinresourceconsumptioninShijiazhuang,considering