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中国省际人口空间格局演化——分析方法与实证研究(英文) Title:EvolutionofInterprovincialPopulationSpatialPatterninChina-AnalyticalMethodsandEmpiricalStudy Abstract: China,asavastcountrywithadiversecultural,economic,andgeographiclandscape,hasexperiencedsignificantinterprovincialpopulationchangesoverthepastdecades.Understandingtheevolutionoftheinterprovincialpopulationspatialpatterniscrucialforpolicymakerstoeffectivelyformulateregionaldevelopmentstrategiesandaddressrelatedsocialissues.Thispaperaimstoprovideanin-depthanalysisofthemethodsandempiricalresearchontheevolutionofChina'sinterprovincialpopulationspatialpattern. 1.Introduction: Inthissection,thesignificanceandrelevanceofstudyingtheinterprovincialpopulationspatialpatterninChinashouldbehighlighted.Itisnecessarytoemphasizetheimportanceofunderstandingthedrivingforcesbehindpopulationmigration,suchaseconomicdevelopment,urbanization,andregionalimbalances.Additionally,theintroductionshouldbrieflysummarizetheadoptedanalyticalmethodsanddatasetsusedintheresearch. 2.AnalyticalMethods: 2.1GravityModel: Thegravitymodeliswidelyusedinstudyingpopulationmigrationandregionaldevelopment.Itconsidersfactorssuchasdistance,populationsize,andeconomicdisparitiesbetweenprovinces.Thissectionshouldexplainthetheoreticalunderpinningsofthegravitymodelandhowitcanbeappliedtoanalyzeinterprovincialpopulationspatialpatterns.Additionally,examplesofpreviousresearchthatusedthegravitymodelinsimilaranalysesshouldbediscussed. 2.2SpatialEconometricModels: Spatialeconometricmodels,suchasspatialautoregressivemodelsandspatialerrormodels,aresuitableforidentifyingthespatialrelationshipsandspillovereffectsinpopulationspatialpatterns.ThissectionshouldexplainthetheoreticalbasisofspatialeconometricmodelsandtheirapplicationintheanalysisofinterprovincialpopulationdynamicsinChina.Mentioningpreviousstudiesthatemployedspatialeconometricmodelstoexplorepopulationspatialpatternswouldaddvaluetothissection. 3.EmpiricalResearch: 3.1DataCollectionandPreparation: Thissectionshouldprovidedetailsaboutthety