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近年全球ABS供需分析及预测 Title:GlobalABSSupplyandDemandAnalysisandForecast Introduction: TheglobalAsset-BackedSecurities(ABS)markethaswitnessedsignificantgrowthinrecentyears.ABSarefinancialinstrumentsthatarebackedbyunderlyingassetssuchasloans,mortgages,orreceivables.Theyhavebecomeanimportantsourceoffinancingforvarioussectorsincludingrealestate,automotive,consumerloans,andcreditcards.ThispaperaimstoanalyzethesupplyanddemanddynamicsoftheglobalABSmarketandprovideaforecastforthecomingyears. SupplyAnalysis: 1.GrowthinABSIssuance:Overthepastdecade,theglobalABSmarkethaswitnessedasteadyincreaseinissuance.Thiscanbeattributedtofavorablemarketconditions,increasedinvestordemandforstructuredfinanceproducts,andregulatorychangespromotingsecuritization.TheissuanceofABShasbeenseenacrossvarioussectorssuchasresidentialmortgage-backedsecurities(RMBS),commercialmortgage-backedsecurities(CMBS),andcollateralizedloanobligations(CLOs). 2.GeographicDistribution:ThesupplyofABSisnotevenlydistributedacrosscountries.TheUnitedStatesandEuropehavetraditionallybeenthelargestmarketsforABSissuance.However,emergingeconomiesinAsia,suchasChinaandIndia,havealsowitnessedsubstantialgrowthinABSissuance,drivenbytheneedforinfrastructurefinancingandconsumercreditexpansion. 3.AssetTypes:ThesupplyofABSisdiversifiedacrossdifferentassetclasses.Mortgage-backedsecurities,whicharebackedbyresidentialorcommercialmortgages,havehistoricallybeenthedominantassettype.However,therehasbeenashifttowardsotherassetclassessuchasautoloans,studentloans,andcreditcardreceivables,reflectingthechangingnatureoftheglobalsecuritizationmarket. DemandAnalysis: 1.InvestorAppetite:ABShavebecomepopularamonginstitutionalinvestors,includingpensionfunds,insurancecompanies,andassetmanagers.TheseinvestorsareattractedtoABSduetotheirpotentialforhigheryieldscomparedtotraditionalfixed-incomeinvestments.ThedemandforABShasbeenfurtherfueledbythesearchforalternativeinvestmentsinlow-interest-rateenvironments. 2.RiskandReturns:ThedemandforABSiscloselylinkedtoinvestors'