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城市轨道交通突发事件下乘客路径选择行为建模与仿真 Title:ModelingandSimulationofPassengerPathSelectionBehaviorinUrbanRailTransitEmergencies Abstract: Urbanrailtransithasbecomeanessentialmodeoftransportationindenselypopulatedcitiesduetoitsefficiencyandconvenience.However,unexpectedevents,suchasemergencies,candisruptthenormaloperationofthesystemandposechallengesforpassengerflowmanagement.Thispaperaimstodevelopamodelandsimulatepassengerpathselectionbehaviorduringurbanrailtransitemergencies.Theproposedmodelwillcontributetoenhancingtheemergencymanagementstrategiesandimprovetheoverallsafetyandefficiencyofthesystem. 1.Introduction Urbanrailtransitsystemsarecomplexnetworksthatconnectvariouspartsofthecityandserveasalifelineformanycommuters.Duringemergenciessuchasfires,poweroutages,oraccidents,passengersafetyandevacuationbecometheprimaryconcerns.Understandingpassengerbehaviorduringthesescenariosiscrucialforeffectiveemergencyresponseplanning.Thisstudyfocusesonmodelingandsimulatingpassengerpathselectionbehaviortoaiddecision-makingprocessesandoptimizeemergencymanagementstrategies. 2.LiteratureReview Previousstudieshaveinvestigatedpassengerbehaviorduringemergenciesinvarioustransportationmodes,includingurbanrailtransit.Researchhasshownthatfactorssuchaspassengerfamiliaritywiththesystem,routecharacteristics,informationprovision,andpersonalpreferencesinfluencetheirpathselectionbehavior.Simulationmodelshavealsobeendevelopedtoanalyzepassengermovementduringemergencies.However,thereisaneedforacomprehensivemodelthatintegratesthesefactorsandaddressestheuniquechallengesofurbanrailtransitemergencies. 3.Methodology Theproposedmodelwilladoptamulti-agent-basedsimulationapproachthatconsidersboththecollectivebehaviorofpassengersandtheirindividualdecision-makingprocesses.Themodelwillincorporatethefollowingcomponents: 3.1.PassengerCharacteristics:Themodelwillcapturetheheterogeneityamongpassengersregardingtheirage,physicalabilities,familiaritywiththesystem,andpersonalpreferences. 3.2.PathSelectionFactors:Factorssuchasroutech