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基于贝叶斯理论的城市管网故障检测模型 Abstract Citypipenetworkisanimportantinfrastructureinurbanareas.Oncethepipenetworkfails,itmaycausewatersupplyinterruption,waterpollution,andotherproblemsthatmayhaveanegativeimpactonresidents’dailylivesandthecity'seconomicdevelopment.However,traditionalmonitoringmethodscannotguaranteethetimelyidentificationoffaultsinthepipenetwork.Inthispaper,weproposeaBayesian-basedmodelforcitypipenetworkfaultdetection.Withthismodel,wecanidentifyfaultsinthepipenetworkthroughmonitoringsensors,dataacquisition,andanalysis.Themodelcaneffectivelyimprovetheefficiencyandaccuracyofcitypipenetworkfaultdetection. Introduction Citypipenetworkisanessentialinfrastructurethatprovidesconvenienceforpeople'slives.Thepipenetworkinvolvesdifferenttypesofpipesthatneedtotransportwaterandothermaterialsacrossthecity.Watersupplyanddrainagesystemsarethemostimportantpipesinthecity,andanyfaultsinthesepipesmayleadtowatershortagesorwaterpollution.Traditionally,citypipenetworkfaultdetectionhasdependedonmanualdetection.Thistypeofdetectionmethodrequireshighlaborcostsandispronetohumanerrors,leadingtothelatedetectionoffaultsinthepipenetwork. Inrecentyears,withthedevelopmentofsensortechnology,dataacquisitionandanalysistechnology,wecanmonitorthecitypipenetworkinreal-timeandobtainvariousindicatorsthatmayindicatefaultsoccurringinthepipenetwork.Afailuredetectionmodelbasedontheseindicatorswillhelptoimprovetheefficiencyandaccuracyofcitypipenetworkfaultdetection. Bayesian-basedCityPipeNetworkFaultDetectionModel Bayesian-basedcitypipenetworkfaultdetectionmodelisestablishedbasedontheBayesiantheorythatbelievesthatfailureisanuncertaineventandusesprobabilitiestodescribethisuncertainty.Themodelconsistsofthreelayers:sensorlayer,dataacquisitionlayer,andanalysislayer. SensorLayer Thesensorlayerinvolvesplacingsensorsindifferentpartsofthecitypipenetworktodetectthephysicalindicatorsofthepipenetwork.Theseindicatorscanbeanyphysicalquantitiesthatmayreflectthefaultoccurrenceofthepipenetwork.Forexample,waterpressure,temper