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京津冀养老服务协同发展研究——基于SWOT框架的分析 Abstract AsChina’sagingpopulationincreases,theneedforcomprehensiveandhigh-qualityeldercareservicesbecomesmorepressing.Toaddressthischallenge,theBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregionhasrecentlyimplementedacoordinateddevelopmentplanforeldercareservices.Thispaperexaminesthestrengths,weaknesses,opportunities,andthreats(SWOT)ofthisplanusingaSWOTframework.OuranalysissuggeststhatwhiletheBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregionhasmanystrengths,suchasfavorablepolicysupportandabundantresources,italsofacessignificantchallenges,suchasalackofstandardizedeldercareservicestandardsandtrainingmechanisms.Wealsoidentifyopportunitiesfortheregiontoexpanditseldercareservices,suchasthroughthedevelopmentofsmarthealthcaretechnologies.Finally,wesuggestseveralstrategiestoaddressthechallengesposedbytheregion’seldercareservices,suchasincreasinginvestmentineldercareservicestraining. Keywords:agingpopulation,eldercare,Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,SWOTanalysis,coordination Introduction China’sagingpopulationisgrowingatanunprecedentedrate.AccordingtotheNationalBureauofStatisticsofChina,theproportionofpeopleaged60andabovereached18.1%in2019andisprojectedtoreach35.0%by2050.ThisdemographictrendhaspromptedtheChinesegovernmenttoprioritizethedevelopmentofeldercareservices. TheBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregion,alsoknownasJing-Jin-Ji,ishometonearly112millionpeopleandisoneofthemostheavilyurbanizedregionsinChina.TheregionencompassesBeijing,Tianjin,andHebeiProvinceandisofgreatstrategicimportancetoChina’seconomicdevelopment.Inrecentyears,theBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregionhasmadesignificanteffortstopromotecoordinateddevelopment,includingimprovingtheprovisionofeldercareservices. Inthispaper,weconductaSWOTanalysistoexaminethestrengths,weaknesses,opportunities,andthreatsfacingtheBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregion’seldercareservices. SWOTAnalysis Strengths -Favorablepolicysupport:TheBeijing-Tianjin-Hebeiregionenjoysstrongpolicysupportfromthecentralgovernment,witharangeofpoliciesdesignedtopromotethedevelopmentofeldercareservices. -Abund